You say “A runaway intelligence improvement loop is false… based on a flawed reasoning that stems from a misunderstanding of intelligence”.

That’s interesting as your article appears to contain several misunderstandings of intelligence. IQ is not intelligence, it is a measure of an individual’s potential intelligence, not of his intellectual attainments. Other factors such as imagination, courage and drive/determination have much greater effect on a person’s achievements in life than their potential intelligence. All things being equal, the more intelligent person should achieve more, but all things are never equal.

you cannot hope to arbitrarily increase the intelligence of an agent merely by tuning its brain — no more than you can increase the throughput of a factory line by speeding up the conveyor belt.” Bad analogy: I’m guessing you never managed a factory. the fact is that you can increase the throughput of a factory line by speeding up the conveyor belt, as long as the conveyor belt speed was the bottle-neck.

Your arguments are based on human intelligence and you assume the perceived behaviours of human intelligence will apply equally to Machine intelligence, but that is not necessarily so. You summarise your arguments at the end:

Remember:

  • Intelligence is situational — there is no such thing as general intelligence. AI will prove this assumption wrong.

“The impossibility of intelligence explosion” is unproven, but I doubt the hype about AI will come to be realised in my lifetime: I have yet to see a true AI. All the examples given (Go-players, Big Blue Chess player, SatNav systems etc) are (in my humble opinion) very Artificial but not very Intelligent.

I work in IT, Community volunteer interested in Politics, support Capitalism as the best economic system for lifting people out of poverty, Skeptical scientist.

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